资本主义成本:市场的蓄意破坏以及稳固未来经济The Cost of Capitalism: Understanding Market Mayhem and Stabilizing our Economic Future 下载 fb2 pdf rb kindle 115盘 极速 azw3

From the panic of 1987 to the tech-bubble burst of 2000, the past two decades have witnessed a series of financial crises, each more disruptive than the last. Unfortunately, they all seem like dress rehearsal for today's debacle.

In hindsight, the precipitating factors responsible for each crisis seem clear, yet, in every case, mainstream economists and policy makers were caught off guard.

Why didn't they see it coming? What should they have known but didn't? And, most critically, how must they adjust their thinking going forward?

In the Cost of Capitalism, Robert Barbera provides compelling answers to all these questions. In the process, he offers the most cogent analysis yet of today's crisis and explains how to manage the ever present potential for mayhem intrinsic to free market economies without stunting innovation and growth.

At the core of Barbera's thinking are three assumptions: first, boom and bust cycles have been stoked since 1985 by finance, not inflation; second, Main Street stability paradoxically invites excessive risk taking on Wall Street; and last, these things set the stage for small setbacks to deliver cataclysmic consequences.

Barbera applauds current efforts to unabashedly infuse public money into the global economy. It's the only way, he says, to prevent another Great Depression. And, looking beyond the crisis of the moment, Barbera contends that mainstream thinkers need to form a new economic paradigm by embracing the insights of free market champions like Joseph Schumpeter and the cautionary wisdom of Hyman Minsky.

Financial market mayhem comes with the territory in a free market system. Nonetheless, innovators and their bankers still offer the world the best chance for a prosperous twenty-first century. Economists, policymakers, and investors must begin to redefine their understanding of free market capitalism. The Cost of Capitalism will set them on that course.

Preface

Acknowledgments

Chapter 1　The Postcrisis Case for a New Paradigm

Part Ⅰ　Hnancial Markets and Monetary Policy in Perspective

　Chapter 2　The Markets Stoke the Boom and Bust Cycle

　Chapter 3　The ABCs of Risky Finance

　Chapter 4　Financial Markets as a Source of Instability

　Chapter 5　Free Market Capitalism: Still the Superior Strategy

　Chapter 6　Monetary Policy: Not the Wrong Men, the Wrong Model

Part Ⅱ　Economic Experience: 1985-2002

　Chapter 7　How Financial Instability Emerged in the 1980s

　Chapter　 Financial Mayhem in Asia: Japan's Implosion and the Asian Contagion

　Chapter 9　The Brave-New-World Boom Goes Bust: The 1990s Technology Bubble

Part Ⅲ Emerging Realities: 2007-2008

　Chapter 10 Greenspan's Conundrum Fosters the Housing Bubble

　Chapter 11 Bernanke's Calamity and the Onset of U.S. Recession

　Chapter 12 Domino Defaults, Global Markets Crisis, and End of the Great Moderation

Part Ⅳ Recasting Economic Theory for the Twenty- First Century

　Chapter 13 Economic Orthodoxy on the Eve of the Crisis

　Chapter 14 Minsky and Monetary Policy

　Chapter 15 One Practitioner's Professional Journey

　Chapter 16 Global Policy Risks in the Aftermath of the 2008 Crisis

Notes

References

Index

Robert J. Barbera, Ph.D., is executive vice president and chief economist at ITG and an Economics Department Fellow at Johns Hopkins University. He has been a noted Wall Street economist for over 25 years. Before arriving on Wall Street, Barbera was a sta

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"The Cost of Capitalism is a must-read and a thoroughly enjoyable one�for those who want to understand. the Crisis of 2008 and hammer out a new framework for decision making."

. Jared L. Cohon, President, Carnegie Mellon University

"Readers who absorb the lessons of this book will be armed with more than mere technique; they will acquire an attitude that will make them better investors for the rest of their lives."

. Paul DeRosa, Principal, Mt. Lucas Management Corp.

"The Cost of Capitalism translates the economic diagnoses and theories of my father, Hyman Minsky.. It captures the vivacity of a post dinner conversation not coincidentally my father's favorite forum for elaborating, educating, and entertaining."

. Diana Minsky, Art Historian, Bard College

"Lucid, intriguing, brilliant! Barbera combines the uncertainty and speculation of Keynes with Schumpeter's "Creative Destruction" and Hy Minsky's "Deflationary Destruction" into a tasty stew."

. James R. Schlesinger, former Director, Central Intelligence Agency

"Long ago, Bob taught me that if you don't know Minsky, you don't know nothing. This work shows the path out of nothingness."

. Paul A. McCulley, Chief Investment Officer, Pacific Investment Management Company

"Barbera's recommendations are profound in their simplicity. Let us hope Wall Street, Main Street, Washington, and academia embrace them."

. Jack Rivkin, former Chief Investment Officer, Neuberger Berman

"This is truly an extraordinary book that should be of great interest to an extremely wide audience from Wall Street practitioners to economics and finance scholars."

. Louis Maccini, Professor of Economics, Johns Hopkins University

From the panic of 1987 to the tech-bubble burst of 2000, the past two decades have witnessed a series of financial crises, each more disruptive than the last. Unfortunately, they all seem like dress rehearsal for today's debacle.

In hindsight, the precipitating factors responsible for each crisis seem clear, yet, in every case, mainstream economists and policy makers were caught off guard.

Why didn't they see it coming? What should they have known but didn't? And, most critically, how must they adjust their thinking going forward?

In the Cost of Capitalism, Robert Barbera provides compelling answers to all these questions. In the process, he offers the most cogent analysis yet of today's crisis and explains how to manage the ever present potential for mayhem intrinsic to free market economies without stunting innovation and growth.

At the core of Barbera's thinking are three assumptions: first, boom and bust cycles have been stoked since 1985 by finance, not inflation; second, Main Street stability paradoxically invites excessive risk taking on Wall Street; and last, these things set the stage for small setbacks to deliver cataclysmic consequences.

Barbera applauds current efforts to unabashedly infuse public money into the global economy. It's the only way, he says, to prevent another Great Depression. And, looking beyond the crisis of the moment, Barbera contends that mainstream thinkers need to form a new economic paradigm by embracing the insights of free market champions like Joseph Schumpeter and the cautionary wisdom of Hyman Minsky.

.

Financial market mayhem comes with the territory in a free market system. Nonetheless, innovators and their bankers still offer the world the best chance for a prosperous twenty-first century. Economists, policymakers, and investors must begin to redefine their understanding of free market capitalism. The Cost of Capitalism will set them on that course..